Webinar

Projections and Repayment Sources:
Part I of II

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In this 1st course of the Financial Projections & Debt Service Skill Series, participants will examine financial projections under two scenarios, comparing results based on historical data and business drivers to assess realistic future cash flow and debt coverage without management input.
 

Schedule

Wednesday 3/19
@ 11AM PST
Instructor:Nancy McDaniel
Thursday 5/15
@ 11AM PST
Instructor:Nancy McDaniel

On-Demand

On-Demand

Certificate

1 credit or $295

Cost

1.5 - 2 Hrs.

Duration

1 hr.

Prep Time

1

Quiz

Overview

Participants review the mechanics and interpretation of financial projections under two different scenarios. In the first scenario, a borrower's projected income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow are identical to its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow in the last historical period - except for proposed new debt. In the second scenario, a borrower's project financial and cash flow results are based on a continuation of the borrower's last actual values for its Business Drivers, i.e., last year's actual values for sales growth, gross margins, operating expenses as % of sales, accounts receivable days, etc. Participants review and examine the differences in the projection results under these two scenarios. They explore the reasons for the differences and assess the benefits and limitations of the two scenarios in providing a realistic estimate of future cash flow and debt coverage absent any input from company management.

Who Should Attend

This Course is ideal for participants currently in or aspiring to enter the following job functions:

  • Commercial Credit Administration
  • Commercial Real Estate Administration
  • C & I Lending
  • CRE Lending
  • Corporate Lending
  • Loan Review
  • Special Assets
  • Non-Profit and Municipality Lending
  • Health Care Provider Lending
  • Credit Analysis

Prerequisites

A sound working knowledge of the construction and use of the UCA cash flow statement.

Objectives

By the end of the webinar, participants will be able to:
  • Identify the impact on cash flow from operations and debt service coverage, given a new loan request, if a borrower's performance in the next year is identical to last year's sales and bottom line profit.
  • Trace the impact of the Business Drivers in shaping income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow results for a projection scenario based on "last actual" values for the Business Drivers, i.e., based on last year's actual values for sales growth, gross margins, operating expenses as % of sales, accounts receivable days, etc.
  • Understand and state the conceptual and mechanical process of generating an income statement, balance sheet, and Uniform Credit Analysis (UCA) cash flow statement based on "last actual" values for the Business Drivers.
  • Identify the reasons for differences in the financial statements, cash flow from operations, and debt service coverage for projection scenarios based on a) last year's results and b) "last actual" values for the Business Drivers.
  • Assess the benefits and limitations in estimating projected financial statements, cash flow from operations, and debt service coverage on the basis of "last actual" values for the Business Drivers.
  • Understand and provide reasons for the artificial bias in projected financial statements, cash flow from operations, and debt service coverage if a two or three-year average replaces "last actual" values for the Business Drivers in a projection scenario.

Materials(access provided with registration)

  • Credit Refresher on Debt Capacity
  • Credit Refresher on Forecast Assumptions and Cash Flow
  • Excerpts from Financial Statements for Sierra Products, Inc.
  • Exercise for the Webinar
  • Webinar Presentation Slides
  • Webinar Poll Questions
  • Webinar Poll Solutions
  • Exercise Solutions
 
This is Course 1 of 2 in the Financial Projections & Debt Service Skill Series
Projections and Repayment Sources: Part I of II
Projections and Repayment Sources: Part II of II
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