Webinar

Projections and Repayment Sources:
Part II of II

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In this 2nd course of the Financial Projections & Debt Service Skill Series, participants will use soft data to shape "most likely" and "downside" projections, assess management targets and competitive forces, and evaluate borrowing causes, cash sources, financing needs, and crisis adjustments for Business Drivers.
 

Schedule

Wednesday 3/26
@ 11AM PST
Instructor:Nancy McDaniel
Thursday 5/22
@ 11AM PST
Instructor:Nancy McDaniel

On-Demand

On-Demand

Certificate

1 credit or $295

Cost

1.5 - 2 Hrs.

Duration

1 hr.

Prep Time

1

Quiz

Overview

Participants incorporate soft data assessment into shaping "most likely" and "downside" projection assumptions for the Business Drivers. Using the last actual values for the Business Drivers, e.g., last year’s sales growth, gross margins, operating expenses as % of sales, accounts receivable days, etc., as the basis for projections, they examine all available information about management targets, competitive forces, and management competence in identifying compelling reasons to alter last actual values in the projection period. They assesses the results of a "most likely" or baseline projection scenario to identify a) borrowing causes, b) cash sources of interest-bearing debt service, c) the financing requirement or surplus, and d) the sources of cash to meet a financing requirement for a borrower or prospective borrower. Participants repeat the process for a "downside" projection scenario in which available soft data suggests further adjustments in an unanticipated crisis for one or more of the "most likely" Business Driver assumptions.

Who Should Attend

This Course is ideal for participants currently in or aspiring to enter the following job functions:

  • Commercial Credit Administration
  • Commercial Real Estate Administration
  • C & I Lending
  • CRE Lending
  • Corporate Lending
  • Loan Review
  • Special Assets
  • Non-Profit and Municipality Lending
  • Health Care Provider Lending
  • Credit Analysis

Prerequisites

A sound working knowledge of the construction and use of the UCA cash flow statement.

Objectives

By the end of the webinar, participants will be able to:
  • Identify compelling reasons - if any - to change last actual Business Driver performance values for the coming year after exploring available information about historical performance, management objectives, competitive forces confronting a borrower, and management capabilities.
  • Implement the manual process for constructing a "most likely" projection scenario using simplifying assumptions about insignificant income statement and balance sheet accounts in the coming year.
  • Understand and state the difference, and the reasons for them, between debt service coverage ratios based on "most likely" projection scenario results and debt service coverage ratios based on "last actual" projection scenario results.
  • Identify a) borrowing causes in the coming year, b) the likely cash sources available to the borrower to meet interest-bearing debt obligations, c) the financing requirement for the year, and d) the sources of cash used by the borrower to meet its financing requirement based on "most likely" projection scenario results.
  • Identify potential downside variations in the "most likely" projection assumptions, based on all available information, in adjusting one or more of the "most likely" Business Driver values to construct a "downside" projection scenario.

Materials(access provided with registration)

  • Credit Refresher on Competitive Forces and Cash Flow
  • Credit Refresher on Forecast Assumptions and Cash Flow
  • Excerpts from Financial Statements for Sierra Products, Inc.
  • Call Report for Sierra Products, Inc.
  • Exercise for the Webinar
  • Webinar Presentation Slides
  • Webinar Poll Questions
  • Webinar Poll Solutions
  • Exercise Solutions
 
This is Course 2 of 2 in the Financial Projections & Debt Service Skill Series
Projections and Repayment Sources: Part I of II
Projections and Repayment Sources: Part II of II
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